Well, I just posted a joke comment to the Senate Guru’s June Cattle Call (list the 15 most likely Senate seats to flip). Instead of doing the usual, I decided to list the 15 least likely to flip.
While that was conceived as a joke, I thought…maybe that list is worth something. So,…
And now for something completely reasonably different: List, in order of “safeness”, the fifteen LEAST likely Senate seats to flip.
My list:
1. Baucus (MT)
2. Reed (RI)
3. Pryor (AR)
4. Biden (DE)
5. Rockefeller (WV)
6. Levin (MI)
7. Durbin (IL)
8. Harkin (IA)
9. Johnson (SD)
10. Kerry (MA)
11. Lautenberg (NJ)
12. Sessions (AL)
13. Cochran (MS)
14. Enzi (WY)
15. Barrasso (WY)
For the record, #16 is Lindsay Graham (SC) and #17 is Lamar Alexander (TN), both of whom follow close behind 15.
1. Pryor (AR)
2. Reed (RI)
3. Biden (DE)
4. Baucus (MT)
5. Rockefeller (WV)
6. Durbin (IL)
7. Enzi (WY)
8. Cochran (MS)
9. Kerry (MA)
10. Sessions (AL)
11. Levin (MI)
12. Johnson (SD)
13. Barrasso (WY)
14. Harkin (IA)
15. Alexander (TN)
#16 is Lindsey Graham, #17 is the open seat in Idaho.
a green party candidate. Given that this is Arkansas, I think you could safely put Pryor at #1.
ALL the democratic seats are my list because i think NO democratic seats will change hands(while lots of republican seats will, in my opinion); i know i am cheating here but i just think all the signs currently lead to a democratic wave in the contested senate seats
PRYOR – unopposed, GOP scared of dad’s machine
REED – unopposed, probably the safest senator ever
BAUCUS – a 2014 primary challenge is the ticket here
HARKIN – vs. an absolute nobody
DURBIN – vs. an unknown doctor
BIDEN – vs. Christine O’Donnell, a local foxnewsy pundit
ROCKEFELLER – should be pushing 70% this time
LEVIN – polls show him pushing 70%
JOHNSON – vs. a mentally unstable state rep, pushing 70%
ENZI – vs. unknown college prof, pushing 70%
COCHRAN – Barack will get unknown Fleming at least 35%
BARRASSO – vs 1 of 2 unknowns, plenty room for more…
SESSIONS – Figures overerperforms due to Obama factor
GRAHAM – they hate this dude, but no one will step up
KERRY – see above, and approval ratings: invest here, NRSC!